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What The Oscar Nominations Will Be So here we are, January 21st, less than 24 hours before nominations are announced at 5:30 AM PST.  For me, this is the culmination of about 4 months of following this race and I am in some disbelief that the big races have not really changed much in the last 2-3 months other than films like Revolutionary Road and Australia falling and The Dark Knight solidifying its place in the whole thing. In the end, my predictions are rather safe. There is no real big shocker, short of my lone director pick. Anyway, I hope these are close to correct, because I actually think it would be a great race* *(Unless Frost/Nixon goes away….please?) Best Picture: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button The Dark Knight Frost/Nixon Milk Slumdog Millionaire I think this is a pretty good grab bag of films that run the gamut of mainstream film, and I hope I’m wrong about Frost/Nixon and Wall-E gets in but my alternative pick would be Doubt. Best Director: David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Christopher Nolan - The Dark Knight Gus Van Sant - Milk Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire Darren Aronofsky - The Wrestler I went with Aronofsky because I just don’t think there is that bastion of Frost/Nixon hope that everyone says is there, and I think this is a film that has a large passionate following and it may show up here. Best Actor: Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler Sean Penn - Milk Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon Clint Eastwood - Gran Torino Obviously it comes down to the 4th and 5th slot and I went with the Pitt/Eastwood combo because I don’t think Jenkins has the critical acclaim to overcome Pitt’s star. Best Actress: Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married Meryl Streep - Doubt Angelina Jolie - Changeling Cate Blanchett - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Like the actors, it comes down to the 4th and 5th slots and I think Jolie’s star + people who really liked Changeling will go here and Blanchett has just gotten so much love recently from the Academy that I’m not gonna bet against her. Best Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight Robert Downey Jr. - Tropic Thunder Josh Brolin - Milk Dev Patel - Slumdog Millionaire Phillip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt This is the safe 5 and I see no need of changing it, though I feel Patel isn’t as safe as some think, let alone a possibility to win. Best Supportin Actress: Viola Davis - Doubt Kate Winslet - The Reader Penelope Cruz - Vicky Christina Barcelona Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Marisa Tomei - The Wrestler Amy Adams could easily take either of Henson/Tomei’s slot but I think the fact that Davis is clearly in will definitely hurt her. Best Original Screenplay: Milk Vicky Christina Barcelona Rachel Getting Married In Bruges Wall-E My big pick here is In Bruges. I may be clouded by my love for the film, but I think it has some unheralded support and they will try to push it here. Best Adapted Screenplay: Doubt Slumdog Millionaire The Curious Case of Benjamin Button The Dark Knight Frost/Nixon Safe bets. The Reader could take someone’s place, most likely TDK. Best Original Song: The Wrestler - Bruce Springsteen (The Wrestler) Gran Torino Theme - Jamie Cullum & Clint Eastwood (Gran Torino) Down To Earth - Peter Gabriel  (Wall-E) Jaiho - A.R. Rahman (Slumdog Millionaire) Once In A Lifetime - Beyonce Knowles (Cadillac Records) The top 4 are safely in I think and my 5th slot goes to this very underrated song from Cadillac Records over the Miley Cyrus song from Bolt! and sadly over ”Dracula’s Lament”from Forgetting Sarah Marshall.

What The Oscar Nominations Will Be

So here we are, January 21st, less than 24 hours before nominations are announced at 5:30 AM PST.  For me, this is the culmination of about 4 months of following this race and I am in some disbelief that the big races have not really changed much in the last 2-3 months other than films like Revolutionary Road and Australia falling and The Dark Knight solidifying its place in the whole thing.

In the end, my predictions are rather safe. There is no real big shocker, short of my lone director pick.

Anyway, I hope these are close to correct, because I actually think it would be a great race*

*(Unless Frost/Nixon goes away….please?)

Best Picture:

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

The Dark Knight

Frost/Nixon

Milk

Slumdog Millionaire

I think this is a pretty good grab bag of films that run the gamut of mainstream film, and I hope I’m wrong about Frost/Nixon and Wall-E gets in but my alternative pick would be Doubt.

Best Director:

David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Christopher Nolan - The Dark Knight

Gus Van Sant - Milk

Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire

Darren Aronofsky - The Wrestler

I went with Aronofsky because I just don’t think there is that bastion of Frost/Nixon hope that everyone says is there, and I think this is a film that has a large passionate following and it may show up here.

Best Actor:

Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler

Sean Penn - Milk

Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon

Clint Eastwood - Gran Torino

Obviously it comes down to the 4th and 5th slot and I went with the Pitt/Eastwood combo because I don’t think Jenkins has the critical acclaim to overcome Pitt’s star.

Best Actress:

Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road

Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married

Meryl Streep - Doubt

Angelina Jolie - Changeling

Cate Blanchett - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Like the actors, it comes down to the 4th and 5th slots and I think Jolie’s star + people who really liked Changeling will go here and Blanchett has just gotten so much love recently from the Academy that I’m not gonna bet against her.

Best Supporting Actor:

Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight

Robert Downey Jr. - Tropic Thunder

Josh Brolin - Milk

Dev Patel - Slumdog Millionaire

Phillip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt

This is the safe 5 and I see no need of changing it, though I feel Patel isn’t as safe as some think, let alone a possibility to win.

Best Supportin Actress:

Viola Davis - Doubt

Kate Winslet - The Reader

Penelope Cruz - Vicky Christina Barcelona

Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Marisa Tomei - The Wrestler

Amy Adams could easily take either of Henson/Tomei’s slot but I think the fact that Davis is clearly in will definitely hurt her.

Best Original Screenplay:

Milk

Vicky Christina Barcelona

Rachel Getting Married

In Bruges

Wall-E

My big pick here is In Bruges. I may be clouded by my love for the film, but I think it has some unheralded support and they will try to push it here.

Best Adapted Screenplay:

Doubt

Slumdog Millionaire

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

The Dark Knight

Frost/Nixon

Safe bets. The Reader could take someone’s place, most likely TDK.

Best Original Song:

The Wrestler - Bruce Springsteen (The Wrestler)

Gran Torino Theme - Jamie Cullum & Clint Eastwood (Gran Torino)

Down To Earth - Peter Gabriel  (Wall-E)

Jaiho - A.R. Rahman (Slumdog Millionaire)

Once In A Lifetime - Beyonce Knowles (Cadillac Records)

The top 4 are safely in I think and my 5th slot goes to this very underrated song from Cadillac Records over the Miley Cyrus song from Bolt! and sadly over ”Dracula’s Lament”from Forgetting Sarah Marshall.


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