Every week until February 22, I’ll run an update on the nominations and eventually the winners.

Slumdog, Ben Button, and Milk look safe to get a good amount of noms, along with The Caped Crusader who I feel will rack up a lot of tech nods in its way to a Best Pic nomination.

(%) how locked in I feel a nominee is

Best Picture: (5+ Contenders)

1. Slumdog Millionaire (100)

2. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (90)

3. Milk (85)

4. The Dark Knight (70)

5. Frost/Nixon (65)

6. Wall·E (40)

7. Doubt (30)

8. Revolutionary Road/The Wrestler (10 each)

Best Director: (5+Contenders)

1. Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire (100)

2. David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (95)

3. Christopher Nolan -The Dark Knight (85)

4. Gus Van Sant - Milk (75)

5. Ron Howard - Frost/Nixon (65)

6. Darren Aronofsky - The Wrestler (30)

7. Jonathan Demme - Rachel Getting Married (20)

8. Clint Eastwood - Gran Torino (15)/ Sam Mendes - Revolutionary Road (15)

Best Actor:

1. Sean Penn - Milk

2. Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler

3. Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon

4. Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

5. Richard Jenkins - The Visitor

Contenders: Leonardo DiCaprio - Revolutionary Road, Clint Eastwood - Gran Torino

Best Actress:

1. Meryl Streep - Doubt

2. Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married

3. Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road

4. Angelina Jolie - Changeling

5. Sally Hawkins - Happy-Go-Lucky

Contenders: Kristen Scott Thomas - I Loved You So Long, Cate Blanchett - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Melissa Leo - Frozen River

Best Supporting Actor:

1. Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight

2. Philip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt

3. Josh Brolin - Milk

4. Robert Downey Jr. - Tropic Thunder

5. James Franco - Milk

Contenders: Michael Shannon - Revolutionary Road,  Ralph Fiennes - The Duchess

Best Supporting Actress:

1. Penelope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona 

2. Viola Davis - Doubt

3. Marisa Tomei - The Wrestler

4. Kate Winslett - The Reader

5. Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Contenders: Amy Adams - Doubt